June 1st Outlook

This is my first post, hopefully as this summer and school year progress they will be more technical and informative.

June 1st looks to be decent severe weather outbreak from east central Nebraska over to all of Iowa and grazing extreme northwestern Missouri. June 1st does not appear to be a big tornado outbreak but probably a few isolated tornadoes with the main threat being wind and hail.

Discussion:

Based on the 31May 12z NAM

A shortwave will be moving through the north central high plains. With dew points being well above 60 by 18z the atmosphere will be more than primed. CAPE values by 21z are over 3000 j/kg. Hodographs are looking very good as well.

Target:

Nebraska City by 2 pm with storm initiation to happen by 22z (5pm)