Well it looks like the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season has begun. Tropical Depression 1 has formed about 355 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico. It winds are peaking around 35 mph and central pressure is around 1004 mb. Right now the forecast strength is for this depression to grow into Tropical Storm Alex by Saturday morning. The storm should affect the the Yucatan Peninsula by Saturday evening and then cross into the Gulf of Mexico where the storm could do devastating damage without even being that strong.
Because of the on-going oil spill in the Gulf any storm in the Gulf will turn up seas. Here is a look at the model forecast tracks:
Right now the worst cast scenario would be the GFDL model. We should have a better idea on what the storm is going to do once it enters the Gulf, which is still 24 to 36 hours away. Ill update the blog in the Morning.
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